oud-trend commercial fragrances like Tom Ford etc. Maybe brands like this use a little bit of plantation oil and it ends up adding up to quite a lot when it's spread across the whole market… I would think it would be a little too expensive raw material to fit the budget of most commercial fragrances?
Few reasons this falls apart. Tom ford just has things compounded by the big houses, so they're using firmenish or givudan oud stock, not tiny Australian grower that just entered the market. Tom ford and the like also use basically the minimal legal amount of oud to be able to say it contains oud, and most of the oud smell in their fragrances are from common oud extender or adjacent perfumery. And the Australian place just had its first viable tiny crop this year, so tom ford scale couldn't use em anyway. Even just bog standard plantation crassna, since there is variation, and Tom ford scale requires scale and repeatability batch to batch, aren't a good fit. No established perfumery house is going to use a product that just had their first crop, and no certainty of more or repeatability of scent batch to batch
Just to say, even a wild oud wouldn't change the price. Assafi and that type is generally what's chosen for consistency, and legal certification, and it's fairly spendy.
$200/g assafi. 100ml perfume. 15% is concentrate, 0.1% of that is oud
0.015g of $200 oud is $2
Maybe a bit high for Tom ford, but maybe they're using something a bit cheaper, I'm sure firemenish has a slightly cheaper variant for known penny pinchers like tom ford.
They've also softened their claims in recent years, no longer actually claiming any real oud content at all. Just 'oud notes' or 'agarwood aroma' which fools a lot of people, so tom ford specifically, the number is likely to be 0 now
Migliaccio & Rathod LLP is investigating whether Tom Ford Oud Wood and related Tom Ford fragrances are marketed in a way that may mislead consumers about
classlawdc.com
I think you're right that it's prob going into mukhallats and the like. Cheap plantation, or general ME market. But as there was less than 2000 trees planted by wescorp, and like I said, most died, their plantation is like. too small to really scale, total yield of like 10 gallons type scale at least at present